Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 60.11%1.66odd justa
EV -3.83%
Vantagem -2.39%
Kelly -6.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.97%60.08%60.10%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.571.6066.67%63.93%63.69%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Luciano Darderi (Visitante)

Previsão 39.89%2.51odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -2.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.39%39.92%39.90%41.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.382.4245.45%42.57%42.02%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nuno Borges (Local): 60.11%; Luciano Darderi (Visitante): 39.89%. Para Luciano Darderi (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.51. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.42, com valor esperado de -3.46%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:16
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.43%E -2.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 06:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.43%E -2.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 06:30
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:45
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 05:40
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 06:31
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.66%E -1.95%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 06:11
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 05:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.45%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.65%E -2.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:41
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:45
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.84%E -4.35%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 05:40
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.84%E -4.35%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.24%E -5.56%K -10.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 05:41
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.24%E -5.56%K -10.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 05:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%6.5%2026-08-07 06:40
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 59.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32%11.7%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.22%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.78%15.3%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.22%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.78%15.3%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 45.16%1.12I 89.29%NM 54.84%62.8%2026-08-07 07:50