Idioma:Português
Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Nuno Borges (Local)
Previsão 61.50%1.63odd justa
EV +3.32%
Vantagem +1.98%
Kelly +4.88%
Crescimento +0.162%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.08%61.38%61.63%62.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.561.6868.03%64.43%64.31%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Previsão 38.50%2.60odd justa
EV -0.669%
Vantagem -0.259%
Kelly -0.423%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.58
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.62%38.37%43.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.432.402.5847.17%41.21%41.67%38.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nuno Borges (Local): 61.50%; Luciano Darderi (Visitante): 38.50%. Para Nuno Borges (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.63. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.68, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.
Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV +3.32%E +1.98%K +4.88%G +0.162% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -16.84%E -7.80%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV +2.09%E +1.26%K +3.17%G +0.066% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -18.38%E -8.67%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -7.98%E -3.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.45%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.669%E -0.259%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.83%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.90%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.98%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.36%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -10.68%E -4.60%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |