Язык:Русский
Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Nuno Borges (Хозяева)
Прогноз 61.50%1.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.32%
Преимущество +1.98%
Kelly +4.88%
Рост +0.162%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.08%61.38%61.63%62.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.471.551.561.6868.03%64.43%64.31%59.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Luciano Darderi (Гости)
Прогноз 38.50%2.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.669%
Преимущество -0.259%
Kelly -0.423%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.03%38.62%38.37%43.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.122.432.402.5847.17%41.21%41.67%38.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Nuno Borges (Хозяева): 61.50%; Luciano Darderi (Гости): 38.50%. Для исхода «Nuno Borges (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.63. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.68, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.32%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV +3.32%E +1.98%K +4.88%G +0.162% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -16.84%E -7.80%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV +2.09%E +1.26%K +3.17%G +0.066% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -18.38%E -8.67%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -7.98%E -3.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.45%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.669%E -0.259%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.83%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.90%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.98%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.36%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -10.68%E -4.60%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |