預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi

開賽時間: 2026-08-08 16:37 UTC

最終賽果: Nuno Borges 1–2 Luciano Darderi

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

66 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Nuno Borges (主隊)

預測 61.50%1.63公平賠率
EV +3.32%
優勢 +1.98%
Kelly +4.88%
成長率 +0.162%

假設最高賠率為 1.68

博彩公司預測分布
56.08%61.38%61.63%62.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.471.551.561.6868.03%64.43%64.31%59.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Luciano Darderi (客隊)

預測 38.50%2.60公平賠率
EV -0.669%
優勢 -0.259%
Kelly -0.423%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.58

博彩公司預測分布
37.03%38.62%38.37%43.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.122.432.402.5847.17%41.21%41.67%38.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Nuno Borges (主隊):61.50%;Luciano Darderi (客隊):38.50%。 對於「Nuno Borges (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.63的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為1.68,對應+3.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (66 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV +3.32%E +1.98%K +4.88%G +0.162%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -16.84%E -7.80%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV +2.09%E +1.26%K +3.17%G +0.066%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -18.38%E -8.67%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:34
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -7.98%E -3.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.45%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:35
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:45
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.669%E -0.259%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 15:44
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:25
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:44
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.83%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:26
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 16:29
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.90%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 15:34
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:35
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:38
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 16:33
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.98%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 15:34
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:44
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.36%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 15:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:34
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 11:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:44
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -10.68%E -4.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:34
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:34
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-08 16:35