StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nuno Borges (Heim)

Prognose 60.11%1.66faire Quote
EV -3.83%
Vorteil -2.39%
Kelly -6.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.97%60.08%60.10%60.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.561.571.6066.67%63.93%63.69%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Luciano Darderi (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.89%2.51faire Quote
EV -3.46%
Vorteil -1.43%
Kelly -2.44%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.39%39.92%39.90%41.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.352.382.4245.45%42.57%42.02%41.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Nuno Borges (Heim): 60.11%; Luciano Darderi (Auswärts): 39.89%. Für Luciano Darderi (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.51. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.42, bei einem Erwartungswert von -3.46%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:16
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.43%E -2.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 06:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.43%E -2.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 06:30
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:40
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:45
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 05:40
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 06:31
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.66%E -1.95%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 06:11
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:41
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 05:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.45%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.65%E -2.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:41
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:45
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.84%E -4.35%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 05:40
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.84%E -4.35%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.24%E -5.56%K -10.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 05:41
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.24%E -5.56%K -10.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 05:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%6.5%2026-08-07 06:40
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 59.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32%11.7%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.22%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.78%15.3%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.22%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.78%15.3%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 45.16%1.12I 89.29%NM 54.84%62.8%2026-08-07 07:50