Langue:Français
Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 61.50%1.63cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +4.88%
Croissance +0.162%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.08%61.38%61.63%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.561.6868.03%64.43%64.31%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.50%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.669%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.423%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.62%38.37%43.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.432.402.5847.17%41.21%41.67%38.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nuno Borges (Local) : 61.50% ; Luciano Darderi (Visiteur) : 38.50%. Pour Nuno Borges (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.63. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.68, soit une espérance positive de +3.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV +3.32%E +1.98%K +4.88%G +0.162% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -16.84%E -7.80%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV +2.09%E +1.26%K +3.17%G +0.066% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -18.38%E -8.67%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -7.98%E -3.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.45%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.669%E -0.259%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.59%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.83%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 07:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.90%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.82%E -0.715%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.98%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.29%E -3.44%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.36%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.37%E -3.52%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.75%E -3.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.67%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -10.68%E -4.60%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |