Langue:Français
Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 60.11%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -6.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%60.08%60.10%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.571.6066.67%63.93%63.69%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.89%2.51cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.39%39.92%39.90%41.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.382.4245.45%42.57%42.02%41.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Nuno Borges (Local) : 60.11% ; Luciano Darderi (Visiteur) : 39.89%. Pour Luciano Darderi (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.42, pour une espérance de -3.46% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 07:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 07:16 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.43%E -2.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.43%E -2.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 06:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.03%E -3.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.66%E -1.95%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 06:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.25%E -2.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 05:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.45%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 06:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.65%E -2.84%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 07:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.25%E -3.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.84%E -4.35%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.84%E -4.35%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.24%E -5.56%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.24%E -5.56%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 05:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.68% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.22% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.78% | 15.3% | 2026-08-07 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.22% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.78% | 15.3% | 2026-08-07 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 45.16% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 54.84% | 62.8% | 2026-08-07 07:50 |