Language:English
Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce
Head to Head
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.12%27.08%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.603.6030.77%28.13%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Martin Landaluce (Visit)
Prediction 72.97%1.37fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.37%
Kelly -14.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%72.88%72.92%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3178.74%77.41%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nicolas Mejia (Local): 27.03%; Martin Landaluce (Visit): 72.97%. For Nicolas Mejia (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.41%E -3.37%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 08:34 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| Bally Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:18 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 08:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.68%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 05:40 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.14%E -3.96%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 08:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.14%E -3.96%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.14%E -3.96%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.14%E -3.96%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 08:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 08:34 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 08:40 |