Idioma:Português
Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
Previsão 32.09%3.12odd justa
EV +2.04%
Vantagem +0.641%
Kelly +0.935%
Crescimento +0.019%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.18
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%32.04%31.69%33.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.963.003.1836.36%33.74%33.33%31.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Martin Landaluce (Visitante)
Previsão 67.91%1.47odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -5.01%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%67.96%68.31%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.381.381.4474.07%72.20%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nicolas Mejia (Local): 32.09%; Martin Landaluce (Visitante): 67.91%. Para Nicolas Mejia (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.12. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.04%.
Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +2.04%E +0.641%K +0.935%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 08:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.08%E +0.341%K +0.500%G +0.005% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 10:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -0.850%E -0.275%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 20:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.12%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:06 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |