Język:Polski
Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Nicolas Mejia (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 32.09%3.12kurs godziwy
EV +2.04%
Przewaga +0.641%
Kelly +0.935%
Wzrost +0.019%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.18
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.49%32.04%31.69%33.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.963.003.1836.36%33.74%33.33%31.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Martin Landaluce (Goście)
Prognoza 67.91%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -2.21%
Przewaga -1.53%
Kelly -5.01%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.27%67.96%68.31%69.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.381.381.4474.07%72.20%72.46%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Nicolas Mejia (Gospodarze): 32.09%; Martin Landaluce (Goście): 67.91%. Dla wyniku Nicolas Mejia (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.12. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.18, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.04%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +2.04%E +0.641%K +0.935%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 08:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.08%E +0.341%K +0.500%G +0.005% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 10:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -0.850%E -0.275%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 20:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.12%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:06 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |