Sprache:Deutsch
Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Nicolas Mejia (Heim)
Prognose 32.09%3.12faire Quote
EV +2.04%
Vorteil +0.641%
Kelly +0.935%
Wachstum +0.019%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.18
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.49%32.04%31.69%33.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.963.003.1836.36%33.74%33.33%31.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Martin Landaluce (Auswärts)
Prognose 67.91%1.47faire Quote
EV -2.21%
Vorteil -1.53%
Kelly -5.01%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.27%67.96%68.31%69.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.351.381.381.4474.07%72.20%72.46%69.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Nicolas Mejia (Heim): 32.09%; Martin Landaluce (Auswärts): 67.91%. Für Nicolas Mejia (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.12. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.18 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.04%.
Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +2.04%E +0.641%K +0.935%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 08:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.08%E +0.341%K +0.500%G +0.005% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 10:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -0.850%E -0.275%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 20:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.12%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:06 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |