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Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Nicolas Mejia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 32.09%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.04%
Преимущество +0.641%
Kelly +0.935%
Рост +0.019%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.18
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.49%32.04%31.69%33.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.963.003.1836.36%33.74%33.33%31.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Martin Landaluce (Гости)
Прогноз 67.91%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.21%
Преимущество -1.53%
Kelly -5.01%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.44
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.27%67.96%68.31%69.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.381.381.4474.07%72.20%72.46%69.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Nicolas Mejia (Хозяева): 32.09%; Martin Landaluce (Гости): 67.91%. Для исхода «Nicolas Mejia (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.12. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.18, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.04%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +2.04%E +0.641%K +0.935%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 08:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.08%E +0.341%K +0.500%G +0.005% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 10:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -0.850%E -0.275%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 20:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.12%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:06 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |