StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce

Matchstart: 2026-08-03 17:11 UTC

Slutresultat: Nicolas Mejia 2–1 Martin Landaluce

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nicolas Mejia (Hemma)

Prognos 32.09%3.12rättvist odds
EV +2.04%
Fördel +0.641%
Kelly +0.935%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.49%32.04%31.69%33.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.963.003.1836.36%33.74%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Martin Landaluce (Borta)

Prognos 67.91%1.47rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -1.53%
Kelly -5.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.27%67.96%68.31%69.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.381.381.4474.07%72.20%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nicolas Mejia (Hemma): 32.09%; Martin Landaluce (Borta): 67.91%. För Nicolas Mejia (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.12. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.18, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.04%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +2.04%E +0.641%K +0.935%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 08:01
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.08%E +0.341%K +0.500%G +0.005%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:35
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 10:24
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:04
SportsBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -0.850%E -0.275%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:30
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:09
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 13:55
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:05
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 10:25
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 15:05
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:09
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 14:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 14:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 03:24
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:50
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 20:30
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 17:05
DraftKings🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.12%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 16:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:06
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:08
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 17:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 15:10
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 16:30
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%0.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-08-03 17:05