預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Nicolas Mejia v Martin Landaluce

開賽時間: 2026-08-03 17:11 UTC

最終賽果: Nicolas Mejia 2–1 Martin Landaluce

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

56 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Nicolas Mejia (主隊)

預測 32.09%3.12公平賠率
EV +2.04%
優勢 +0.641%
Kelly +0.935%
成長率 +0.019%

假設最高賠率為 3.18

博彩公司預測分布
30.49%32.04%31.69%33.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.752.963.003.1836.36%33.74%33.33%31.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Martin Landaluce (客隊)

預測 67.91%1.47公平賠率
EV -2.21%
優勢 -1.53%
Kelly -5.01%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.44

博彩公司預測分布
66.27%67.96%68.31%69.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.351.381.381.4474.07%72.20%72.46%69.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Nicolas Mejia (主隊):32.09%;Martin Landaluce (客隊):67.91%。 對於「Nicolas Mejia (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.12的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.18,對應+2.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (56 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +2.04%E +0.641%K +0.935%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 08:01
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.08%E +0.341%K +0.500%G +0.005%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:35
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 10:24
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.529%E -0.171%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:04
SportsBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -0.850%E -0.275%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.24%E -3.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:30
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:09
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 13:55
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:05
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:30
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 10:25
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 15:05
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:09
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 14:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 14:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.95%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 03:24
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:50
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 20:30
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 17:05
DraftKings🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.12%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.56%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 16:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:06
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.16%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:08
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 17:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 15:10
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-03 16:30
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%0.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-08-03 17:05