语言:简体中文
Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nicolas Mejia (主队)
预测 15.22%6.57公平赔率
EV +6.52%
优势 +0.931%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.071%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.77%15.21%15.26%18.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.206.146.257.0019.23%16.28%16.00%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lorenzo Musetti (客队)
预测 84.78%1.18公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -16.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.15
博彩公司预测分布
81.89%84.79%84.74%86.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.20%89.29%86.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nicolas Mejia (主队)：15.22%；Lorenzo Musetti (客队)：84.78%。 对于“Nicolas Mejia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.57。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+6.52%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +6.52%E +0.931%K +1.09%G +0.071% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +5.00%E +0.724%K +0.847%G +0.042% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.72%E +0.402%K +0.472%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV +2.11%E +0.314%K +0.369%G +0.008% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -9.28%E -8.68%K -132.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 05:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -4.74%E -0.757%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.48%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV -5.05%E -0.809%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.18%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.18%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV -7.94%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 10:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 13:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -20.87%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -20.87%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |