Idioma:Português
Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti
Frente a frente
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
Previsão 13.46%7.43odd justa
EV +7.70%
Vantagem +0.962%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.085%
pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.89%13.58%13.43%15.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.806.736.508.0017.24%14.85%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Previsão 86.54%1.16odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -2.75%
Kelly -25.65%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.06%86.42%86.57%88.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.66%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nicolas Mejia (Local): 13.46%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 86.54%. Para Nicolas Mejia (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 7.43. 8 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 8.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +7.70%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.01%E +0.642%K +0.736%G +0.037% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.36I 13.59%NM 13.11%EV -0.918%E -0.125%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.89%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| DraftKings | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -1.73%E -0.236%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Bovada | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Fanatics | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| Betsson | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.27%E -7.80%K -137.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| 1xBet | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV -3.21%E -0.446%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -6.44%E -0.926%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -8.46%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| GTbets | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV -9.67%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 08:25 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Neds | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -15.19%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BetRivers | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Grosvenor | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| betPARX | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Bally Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| PlayUp | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ReBet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:05 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 10:13 |
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -21.92%E -3.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Novig | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |