Språk:Svenska
Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Nicolas Mejia (Hemma)
Prognos 15.22%6.57rättvist odds
EV +6.52%
Fördel +0.931%
Kelly +1.09%
Tillväxt +0.071%
med antagandet om högsta odds 7.00
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.77%15.21%15.26%18.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.206.146.257.0019.23%16.28%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)
Prognos 84.78%1.18rättvist odds
EV -2.50%
Fördel -2.17%
Kelly -16.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.89%84.79%84.74%86.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.20%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nicolas Mejia (Hemma): 15.22%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 84.78%. För Nicolas Mejia (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.57. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.52%.
Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +6.52%E +0.931%K +1.09%G +0.071% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +5.00%E +0.724%K +0.847%G +0.042% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.72%E +0.402%K +0.472%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV +2.11%E +0.314%K +0.369%G +0.008% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -9.28%E -8.68%K -132.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 05:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -4.74%E -0.757%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.48%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV -5.05%E -0.809%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.18%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.18%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV -7.94%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 10:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 13:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -20.87%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -20.87%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |