StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nicolas Mejia (Hemma)

Prognos 13.46%7.43rättvist odds
EV +7.70%
Fördel +0.962%
Kelly +1.10%
Tillväxt +0.085%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.89%13.58%13.43%15.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.806.736.508.0017.24%14.85%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 86.54%1.16rättvist odds
EV -3.08%
Fördel -2.75%
Kelly -25.65%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
84.06%86.42%86.57%88.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.66%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Nicolas Mejia (Hemma): 13.46%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 86.54%. För Nicolas Mejia (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.43. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 8.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +7.70%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 14:04
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:40
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.01%E +0.642%K +0.736%G +0.037%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:44
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:44
LowVig.ag7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:40
BetOnline.ag7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:45
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:40
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:40
Pinnacle7.36I 13.59%NM 13.11%EV -0.918%E -0.125%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.89%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 20:20
DraftKings7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -1.73%E -0.236%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 13:35
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:24
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:45
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:58
Fanatics7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 16:30
Betsson7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:45
NordicBet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:45
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.27%E -7.80%K -137.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:45
1xBet7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV -3.21%E -0.446%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:40
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:00
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:00
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:00
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:04
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -6.44%E -0.926%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Betclic (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -8.46%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:58
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 15:40
GTbets6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV -9.67%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:14
Dabble (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:15
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:15
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:15
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:14
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 10:14
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:20
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:25
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 12:09
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:34
Neds6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -15.19%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:04
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
BetRivers6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
Grosvenor6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:00
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:00
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:00
TABtouch6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:59
Bally Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:00
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:00
Hard Rock Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:44
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:19
LeoVegas6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:20
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 15:05
betano_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 10:13
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 10:14
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -21.92%E -3.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 06:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-08-04 22:20
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%1.6%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34%2.5%2026-08-04 23:50