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Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti
Direkter Vergleich
Nicolas Mejia (Heim)
Prognose 13.46%7.43faire Quote
EV +7.70%
Vorteil +0.962%
Kelly +1.10%
Wachstum +0.085%
bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.89%13.58%13.43%15.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.806.736.508.0017.24%14.85%15.38%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)
Prognose 86.54%1.16faire Quote
EV -3.08%
Vorteil -2.75%
Kelly -25.65%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.12
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
84.06%86.42%86.57%88.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.66%90.91%89.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Nicolas Mejia (Heim): 13.46%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 86.54%. Für Nicolas Mejia (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.43. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 8.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +7.70%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.01%E +0.642%K +0.736%G +0.037% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.36I 13.59%NM 13.11%EV -0.918%E -0.125%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.89%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| DraftKings | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -1.73%E -0.236%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Bovada | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Fanatics | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| Betsson | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.27%E -7.80%K -137.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| 1xBet | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV -3.21%E -0.446%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -6.44%E -0.926%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -8.46%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| GTbets | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV -9.67%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 08:25 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Neds | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -15.19%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BetRivers | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Grosvenor | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| betPARX | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Bally Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| PlayUp | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ReBet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:05 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 10:13 |
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -21.92%E -3.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Novig | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |