Langue:Français
Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti
Résultat du match
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
Prévision 13.46%7.43cote équitable
EV +7.70%
Avantage +0.962%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.085%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.89%13.58%13.43%15.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.806.736.508.0017.24%14.85%15.38%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 86.54%1.16cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -25.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.06%86.42%86.57%88.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.66%90.91%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Nicolas Mejia (Local) : 13.46% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 86.54%. Pour Nicolas Mejia (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.43. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 8.00, pour une espérance positive de +7.70%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.70%E +0.962%K +1.10%G +0.085% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.01%E +0.642%K +0.736%G +0.037% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.966%E +0.129%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.36I 13.59%NM 13.11%EV -0.918%E -0.125%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.89%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| DraftKings | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -1.73%E -0.236%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Bovada | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.40%E -0.331%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Fanatics | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| Betsson | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -3.07%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.27%E -7.80%K -137.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| 1xBet | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV -3.21%E -0.446%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:40 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.76%E -0.824%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.54%E -6.05%K -81.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -6.44%E -0.926%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -8.46%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 15:40 |
| GTbets | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV -9.67%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 08:25 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Neds | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -15.19%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BetRivers | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Grosvenor | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| betPARX | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Bally Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| PlayUp | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ReBet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -16.53%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.67%E -5.21%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:05 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 10:13 |
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.23%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -21.92%E -3.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.81%E -4.37%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Novig | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |