Язык:Русский
Nicolas Mejia v Lorenzo Musetti
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Nicolas Mejia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 15.22%6.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.52%
Преимущество +0.931%
Kelly +1.09%
Рост +0.071%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.77%15.21%15.26%18.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.206.146.257.0019.23%16.28%16.00%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lorenzo Musetti (Гости)
Прогноз 84.78%1.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.50%
Преимущество -2.17%
Kelly -16.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
81.89%84.79%84.74%86.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.20%89.29%86.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Nicolas Mejia (Хозяева): 15.22%; Lorenzo Musetti (Гости): 84.78%. Для исхода «Nicolas Mejia (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.57. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.52%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +6.52%E +0.931%K +1.09%G +0.071% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +5.00%E +0.724%K +0.847%G +0.042% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.72%E +0.402%K +0.472%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV +2.11%E +0.314%K +0.369%G +0.008% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV +1.95%E +0.292%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -9.28%E -8.68%K -132.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 05:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.09%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.61%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -4.74%E -0.757%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.48%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.89%E -0.783%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV -5.05%E -0.809%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -5.65%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.18%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.18%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV -7.94%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 10:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.31%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.70%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.74%E -6.13%K -67.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.20%E -3.71%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.50%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.35%E -2.94%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 13:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.31%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -20.87%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -20.87%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.50%E -2.17%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |