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Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Head to Head
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prediction 61.15%1.64fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.12%61.12%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.561.5965.36%64.08%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mariano Navone (Visit)
Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%38.88%38.88%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.432.5343.48%40.96%41.15%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 61.15%; Mariano Navone (Visit): 38.85%. For Mariano Navone (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.53, with an expected value of -1.72%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.72%E -0.680%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:05 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:02 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -5.22%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 16:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 21:25 |