預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone

開賽時間: 2026-08-03 17:03 UTC

最終賽果: Matteo Berrettini 1–2 Mariano Navone

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

58 家博彩公司 (19 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Berrettini (主隊)

預測 63.87%1.57公平賠率
EV -1.64%
優勢 -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.54

博彩公司預測分布
61.56%63.96%64.20%67.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.471.471.5471.43%68.13%68.03%64.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Mariano Navone (客隊)

預測 36.13%2.77公平賠率
EV +4.78%
優勢 +1.65%
Kelly +2.52%
成長率 +0.120%

假設最高賠率為 2.90

博彩公司預測分布
32.56%36.04%35.80%38.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.452.692.702.9040.82%37.24%37.04%34.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Matteo Berrettini (主隊):63.87%;Mariano Navone (客隊):36.13%。 對於「Mariano Navone (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.77的公平十進位賠率。 當時有11家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.90,對應+4.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (58 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +4.06%E +1.41%K +2.16%G +0.088%2.7%2026-08-03 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008%2.8%2026-08-03 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008%4.7%2026-08-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008%5.6%2026-08-03 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +0.806%E +0.289%K +0.450%G +0.004%4.8%2026-08-03 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:15
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 15:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 10:35
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:00
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:59
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:54
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-03 16:45
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-08-03 17:00
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-03 16:55
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-03 16:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%3.5%2026-08-03 16:50