Idioma:Português
Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Previsão 63.87%1.57odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.56%63.96%64.20%67.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.471.5471.43%68.13%68.03%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Previsão 36.13%2.77odd justa
EV +4.78%
Vantagem +1.65%
Kelly +2.52%
Crescimento +0.120%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%36.04%35.80%38.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.692.702.9040.82%37.24%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 63.87%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 36.13%. Para Mariano Navone (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.78%.
Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +4.06%E +1.41%K +2.16%G +0.088% | 2.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +0.806%E +0.289%K +0.450%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |