StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone

Matchstart: 2026-08-03 17:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Matteo Berrettini 1–2 Mariano Navone

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Matteo Berrettini (Hemma)

Prognos 63.87%1.57rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.56%63.96%64.20%67.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.471.471.5471.43%68.13%68.03%64.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Mariano Navone (Borta)

Prognos 36.13%2.77rättvist odds
EV +4.78%
Fördel +1.65%
Kelly +2.52%
Tillväxt +0.120%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.56%36.04%35.80%38.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.692.702.9040.82%37.24%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Matteo Berrettini (Hemma): 63.87%; Mariano Navone (Borta): 36.13%. För Mariano Navone (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.77. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120%5.9%2026-08-03 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +4.06%E +1.41%K +2.16%G +0.088%2.7%2026-08-03 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008%2.8%2026-08-03 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008%4.7%2026-08-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008%5.6%2026-08-03 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +0.806%E +0.289%K +0.450%G +0.004%4.8%2026-08-03 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:15
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 15:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 10:35
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:00
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:59
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-03 16:45
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-08-03 17:00
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-03 16:55
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-03 16:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%3.5%2026-08-03 16:50