Langue:Français
Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prévision 63.87%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.96%64.20%67.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.471.5471.43%68.13%68.03%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Mariano Navone (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.13%2.77cote équitable
EV +4.78%
Avantage +1.65%
Kelly +2.52%
Croissance +0.120%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%36.04%35.80%38.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.692.702.9040.82%37.24%37.04%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Matteo Berrettini (Local) : 63.87% ; Mariano Navone (Visiteur) : 36.13%. Pour Mariano Navone (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.77. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.90, soit une espérance positive de +4.78%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +4.06%E +1.41%K +2.16%G +0.088% | 2.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +0.806%E +0.289%K +0.450%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |