Sprache:Deutsch
Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Matteo Berrettini (Heim)
Prognose 63.87%1.57faire Quote
EV -1.64%
Vorteil -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.56%63.96%64.20%67.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.471.471.5471.43%68.13%68.03%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Mariano Navone (Auswärts)
Prognose 36.13%2.77faire Quote
EV +4.78%
Vorteil +1.65%
Kelly +2.52%
Wachstum +0.120%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.90
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.56%36.04%35.80%38.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.692.702.9040.82%37.24%37.04%34.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Matteo Berrettini (Heim): 63.87%; Mariano Navone (Auswärts): 36.13%. Für Mariano Navone (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.77. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.78%.
Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +4.06%E +1.41%K +2.16%G +0.088% | 2.7% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.648%G +0.008% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +0.806%E +0.289%K +0.450%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.083%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.640%E -0.233%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |