Language:English
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Head to Head
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prediction 42.15%2.37fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.831%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%41.93%42.21%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.242.252.4246.73%44.60%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Visit)
Prediction 57.85%1.73fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.704%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.07%57.79%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.651.7565.36%60.77%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luciano Darderi (Local): 42.15%; Gabriel Diallo (Visit): 57.85%. For Luciano Darderi (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.42, producing a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +2.01%E +0.831%K +1.42%G +0.028% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +1.17%E +0.486%K +0.834%G +0.010% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -11.49%E -7.51%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.324%E +0.136%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.519%E -0.220%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.941%E -0.400%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.941%E -0.400%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.87%E -4.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.21%E -0.951%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.21%E -0.951%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.87%E -4.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.87%E -4.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.87%E -4.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.87%E -4.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.31%E -1.90%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.40%E -2.03%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.40%E -2.03%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.49%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.00%E -2.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.00%E -2.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| ReBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -6.42%E -2.89%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +1.23%E +0.704%K +1.64%G +0.020% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.40%E -2.03%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 22:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.82%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.79%E -4.58%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| ProphetX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
Arbitrage (5 combinations) +1.56%Pinnacle 2.42 (42.0%) / GTbets 1.75 (58.0%)Show all 5 combinations
| Luciano Darderi (Local) | Gabriel Diallo (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle 2.42 (42.0%) | GTbets 1.75 (58.0%) | +1.56% |
| Caesars 2.40 (42.2%) | GTbets 1.75 (57.8%) | +1.20% |
| Sky Bet 2.38 (42.4%) | GTbets 1.75 (57.6%) | +0.847% |
| FanDuel 2.36 (42.6%) | GTbets 1.75 (57.4%) | +0.487% |
| Coolbet 2.35 (42.7%) | GTbets 1.75 (57.3%) | +0.305% |
| SportsBet 2.35 (42.7%) | GTbets 1.75 (57.3%) | +0.305% |