Langue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 42.13%2.37cote équitable
EV +1.11%
Avantage +0.461%
Kelly +0.790%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%41.92%42.28%44.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.142.252.252.4046.73%44.44%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.87%1.73cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.730%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%58.08%57.72%61.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.651.7565.36%60.89%60.61%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 42.13% ; Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur) : 57.87%. Pour Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.73. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.28%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +1.28%E +0.730%K +1.70%G +0.022% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.26%E -0.976%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.90%E -3.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +0.685%E +0.287%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.579%E -0.245%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.00%E -0.426%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:18 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |