StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo

Matchstart: 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luciano Darderi (Hemma)

Prognos 42.13%2.37rättvist odds
EV +1.11%
Fördel +0.461%
Kelly +0.790%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.93%41.92%42.28%44.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.142.252.252.4046.73%44.44%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Gabriel Diallo (Borta)

Prognos 57.87%1.73rättvist odds
EV +1.28%
Fördel +0.730%
Kelly +1.70%
Tillväxt +0.022%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.70%58.08%57.72%61.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.641.651.7565.36%60.89%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Luciano Darderi (Hemma): 42.13%; Gabriel Diallo (Borta): 57.87%. För Gabriel Diallo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.73. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.28%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +1.28%E +0.730%K +1.70%G +0.022%2.6%2026-08-04 22:05
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:00
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:30
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:59
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:59
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.26%E -0.976%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:05
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:50
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.90%E -3.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:30
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:05
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:05
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:14
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:35
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:05
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:50
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 22:00
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +0.685%E +0.287%K +0.493%G +0.003%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:04
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:05
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:45
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:25
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.191%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 23:00
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.579%E -0.245%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:05
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:45
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:00
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:30
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:05
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.00%E -0.426%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:18
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:19
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:05
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:07
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-05 00:05
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-08-05 00:05