Język:Polski
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.61%2.40kurs godziwy
EV -0.135%
Przewaga -0.056%
Kelly -0.096%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.93%41.61%41.58%43.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.142.262.252.4046.73%44.31%44.44%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Gabriel Diallo (Goście)
Prognoza 58.39%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -1.32%
Przewaga -0.782%
Kelly -1.92%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.22%58.39%58.42%61.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.631.631.6965.36%61.20%61.35%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze): 41.61%; Gabriel Diallo (Goście): 58.39%. Dla wyniku Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.403. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.400, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.135%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.135%E -0.056%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.135%E -0.056%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -0.551%E -0.230%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -0.551%E -0.230%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.967%E -0.406%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.967%E -0.406%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.38%E -0.584%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.38%E -0.584%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.22%E -0.943%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 01:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.96%E -2.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.32%E -0.782%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -9.71%E -4.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -1.32%E -0.782%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.95%E -5.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |