Język:Polski
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 42.13%2.37kurs godziwy
EV +1.11%
Przewaga +0.461%
Kelly +0.790%
Wzrost +0.009%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.93%41.92%42.28%44.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.142.252.252.4046.73%44.44%44.44%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Gabriel Diallo (Goście)
Prognoza 57.87%1.73kurs godziwy
EV +1.28%
Przewaga +0.730%
Kelly +1.70%
Wzrost +0.022%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.70%58.08%57.72%61.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.641.651.7565.36%60.89%60.61%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze): 42.13%; Gabriel Diallo (Goście): 57.87%. Dla wyniku Gabriel Diallo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.73. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.28%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +1.28%E +0.730%K +1.70%G +0.022% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.26%E -0.976%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.90%E -3.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +0.685%E +0.287%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.579%E -0.245%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.00%E -0.426%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:18 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |