Sprache:Deutsch
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Luciano Darderi (Heim)
Prognose 42.13%2.37faire Quote
EV +1.11%
Vorteil +0.461%
Kelly +0.790%
Wachstum +0.009%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.93%41.92%42.28%44.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.142.252.252.4046.73%44.44%44.44%41.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Auswärts)
Prognose 57.87%1.73faire Quote
EV +1.28%
Vorteil +0.730%
Kelly +1.70%
Wachstum +0.022%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.70%58.08%57.72%61.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.641.651.7565.36%60.89%60.61%57.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luciano Darderi (Heim): 42.13%; Gabriel Diallo (Auswärts): 57.87%. Für Gabriel Diallo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.73. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.28%.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +1.28%E +0.730%K +1.70%G +0.022% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.26%E -0.976%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.90%E -3.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +0.685%E +0.287%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.579%E -0.245%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.00%E -0.426%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:18 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |