Lingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 41.61%2.40quota equa
EV -0.135%
Vantaggio -0.056%
Kelly -0.096%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.93%41.61%41.58%43.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.142.262.252.4046.73%44.31%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.39%1.71quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.782%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.22%58.39%58.42%61.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.631.631.6965.36%61.20%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luciano Darderi (Casa): 41.61%; Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta): 58.39%. Per Luciano Darderi (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.403. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.400, con un valore atteso del -0.135%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.135%E -0.056%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.16%E -4.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.135%E -0.056%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -0.551%E -0.230%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -0.551%E -0.230%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.967%E -0.406%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.967%E -0.406%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.38%E -0.584%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.38%E -0.584%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.22%E -0.943%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 01:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.99%E -3.72%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.96%E -2.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.38%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.33%E -5.30%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.32%E -0.782%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.46%E -3.84%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.29%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -9.71%E -4.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -1.32%E -0.782%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.95%E -5.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |