Lingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Gabriel Diallo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 42.13%2.37quota equa
EV +1.11%
Vantaggio +0.461%
Kelly +0.790%
Crescita +0.009%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.93%41.92%42.28%44.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.142.252.252.4046.73%44.44%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta)
Previsione 57.87%1.73quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.730%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescita +0.022%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.70%58.08%57.72%61.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.641.651.7565.36%60.89%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luciano Darderi (Casa): 42.13%; Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta): 57.87%. Per Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.73. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.28%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +1.28%E +0.730%K +1.70%G +0.022% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.26%E -0.976%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.90%E -3.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +0.685%E +0.287%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.09%E -3.10%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.579%E -0.245%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.00%E -0.426%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:18 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +1.11%E +0.461%K +0.790%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:07 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |