Language:English
Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juncheng Shang (Local)
Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +0.883%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.11%24.70%24.66%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.813.854.1628.99%26.25%25.97%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 75.29%1.33fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -7.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.63%75.30%75.34%76.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.44%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juncheng Shang (Local): 24.71%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 75.29%. For Juncheng Shang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.918%E -0.229%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.40%E -0.608%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.90%E -7.35%K -42.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 04:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 07:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
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