Language:English
Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev
Head to Head
Juncheng Shang (Local)
Prediction 22.08%4.53fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.344%
Kelly +0.439%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%22.35%22.12%24.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.224.304.6027.03%23.71%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 77.92%1.28fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -14.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.36%77.65%77.88%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.201.2485.47%82.95%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Juncheng Shang (Local): 22.08%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 77.92%. For Juncheng Shang (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.58%E +0.344%K +0.439%G +0.007% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 23:58 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 22:45 |
| GTbets | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.78%EV -1.51%E -0.338%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -8.84%E -7.55%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.83%E -0.644%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.83%E -0.644%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.38%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.06%E -6.83%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 01:45 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.15%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 01:09 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 03:34 |
| LeoVegas | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.56%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 23:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 01:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -16.08%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.84%E -7.55%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -17.19%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.84%E -7.55%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 01:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -18.29%E -4.94%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 00:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 03:35 |
| Novig | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 03:29 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 30.16% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 69.84% | 25.6% | 2026-08-03 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 30.16% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 69.84% | 25.6% | 2026-08-03 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 52.78% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 47.22% | 85.8% | 2026-08-03 02:40 |