Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev

Início: 2026-08-04 20:21 UTC

Final: Juncheng Shang 2–1 Andrey Rublev

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Juncheng Shang (Local)

Previsão 24.71%4.05odd justa
EV +2.79%
Vantagem +0.670%
Kelly +0.883%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.11%24.70%24.66%27.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.813.854.1628.99%26.25%25.97%24.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Andrey Rublev (Visitante)

Previsão 75.29%1.33odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -7.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.63%75.30%75.34%76.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.44%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Juncheng Shang (Local): 24.71%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 75.29%. Para Juncheng Shang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.05. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 20:10
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:09
DraftKings🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:09
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.918%E -0.229%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:30
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:08
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.40%E -0.608%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:59
ReBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:29
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:00
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:59
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:00
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 12:09
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:19
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:10
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 08:05
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.90%E -7.35%K -42.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:07
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 04:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:34
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:40
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 12:09
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 06:29
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 17:35
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:10
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 03:04
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 08:00
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 07:58
Dabble (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:15
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 19:45
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:10
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-04 20:00
ProphetX4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%1.6%2026-08-04 19:55
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-08-04 20:10
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%3.1%2026-08-04 20:10
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-08-04 20:10