Idioma:Español
Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev
Resultado del partido
Juncheng Shang (Local)
Predicción 22.08%4.53momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.344%
Kelly +0.439%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%22.35%22.12%24.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.224.254.6027.03%23.72%23.53%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 77.92%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -14.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.36%77.65%77.88%79.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.88%82.64%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Juncheng Shang (Local): 22.08%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 77.92%. Para Juncheng Shang (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.53. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.58%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.58%E +0.344%K +0.439%G +0.007% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 23:58 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.626%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 22:45 |
| GTbets | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.78%EV -1.51%E -0.338%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -8.84%E -7.55%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.83%E -0.644%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.83%E -0.644%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.38%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.06%E -6.83%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 01:45 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.15%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 04:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 04:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 01:09 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.25%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 03:34 |
| LeoVegas | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.56%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 23:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 01:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.67%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.42%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -16.08%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.84%E -7.55%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -17.19%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.84%E -7.55%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 01:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -18.29%E -4.94%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 00:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 03:35 |
| Novig | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 04:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 52.78% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 47.22% | 85.8% | 2026-08-03 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 52.78% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 47.22% | 85.8% | 2026-08-03 04:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 52.78% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 47.22% | 85.8% | 2026-08-03 04:30 |