StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 20:21 UTC

Endstand: Juncheng Shang 2–1 Andrey Rublev

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Juncheng Shang (Heim)

Prognose 24.71%4.05faire Quote
EV +2.79%
Vorteil +0.670%
Kelly +0.883%
Wachstum +0.025%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.11%24.70%24.66%27.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.453.813.854.1628.99%26.25%25.97%24.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Auswärts)

Prognose 75.29%1.33faire Quote
EV -2.12%
Vorteil -1.63%
Kelly -7.07%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.63%75.30%75.34%76.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.44%79.37%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Juncheng Shang (Heim): 24.71%; Andrey Rublev (Auswärts): 75.29%. Für Juncheng Shang (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.05. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.16 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.79%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 20:10
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:09
DraftKings🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:09
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.918%E -0.229%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:30
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:08
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.40%E -0.608%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:59
ReBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:29
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:00
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:59
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:00
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 12:09
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:19
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:10
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 08:05
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.90%E -7.35%K -42.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:07
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 04:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:34
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:40
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 12:09
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 06:29
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 17:35
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:10
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 03:04
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 08:00
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 07:58
Dabble (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:15
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 19:45
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:10
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-04 20:00
ProphetX4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%1.6%2026-08-04 19:55
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-08-04 20:10
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%3.1%2026-08-04 20:10
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-08-04 20:10