语言:简体中文
Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Juncheng Shang (主队)
预测 24.71%4.05公平赔率
EV +2.79%
优势 +0.670%
Kelly +0.883%
增长率 +0.025%
假设最高赔率为 4.16
博彩公司预测分布
23.11%24.70%24.66%27.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.813.854.1628.99%26.25%25.97%24.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Andrey Rublev (客队)
预测 75.29%1.33公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -7.07%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
72.63%75.30%75.34%76.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.44%79.37%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Juncheng Shang (主队)：24.71%；Andrey Rublev (客队)：75.29%。 对于“Juncheng Shang (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.05。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.16，对应+2.79%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.918%E -0.229%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.40%E -0.608%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.90%E -7.35%K -42.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 04:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 07:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |