Język:Polski
Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Juncheng Shang (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 24.71%4.05kurs godziwy
EV +2.79%
Przewaga +0.670%
Kelly +0.883%
Wzrost +0.025%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.16
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.11%24.70%24.66%27.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.453.813.854.1628.99%26.25%25.97%24.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Andrey Rublev (Goście)
Prognoza 75.29%1.33kurs godziwy
EV -2.12%
Przewaga -1.63%
Kelly -7.07%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.63%75.30%75.34%76.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.44%79.37%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Juncheng Shang (Gospodarze): 24.71%; Andrey Rublev (Goście): 75.29%. Dla wyniku Juncheng Shang (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.05. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.16, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.918%E -0.229%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.40%E -0.608%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.90%E -7.35%K -42.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 04:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 07:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |