Язык:Русский
Juncheng Shang v Andrey Rublev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Juncheng Shang (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.71%4.05справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.79%
Преимущество +0.670%
Kelly +0.883%
Рост +0.025%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.16
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.11%24.70%24.66%27.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.453.813.854.1628.99%26.25%25.97%24.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Andrey Rublev (Гости)
Прогноз 75.29%1.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.12%
Преимущество -1.63%
Kelly -7.07%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.63%75.30%75.34%76.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.44%79.37%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Juncheng Shang (Хозяева): 24.71%; Andrey Rublev (Гости): 75.29%. Для исхода «Juncheng Shang (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.05. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.16, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.79%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.79%E +0.670%K +0.883%G +0.025% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.071%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.918%E -0.229%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.16%E -0.291%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.40%E -0.608%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.87%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.07%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.14%E -6.68%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.90%E -7.35%K -42.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 04:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.64%E -5.35%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.87%E -2.23%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.38%E -3.45%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 07:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.63%E -2.83%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.12%E -1.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |