StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

James Duckworth v Alex de Minaur

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 23:38 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

James Duckworth (Hemma)

Prognos 13.64%7.33rättvist odds
EV +11.82%
Fördel +1.44%
Kelly +1.64%
Tillväxt +0.194%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.64%13.73%13.58%16.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.957.008.2018.18%14.38%14.29%12.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Borta)

Prognos 86.36%1.16rättvist odds
EV -3.27%
Fördel -2.92%
Kelly -27.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.08%86.27%86.42%88.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.02%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: James Duckworth (Hemma): 13.64%; Alex de Minaur (Borta): 86.36%. För James Duckworth (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.33. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.82%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.194%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:20
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:20
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:19
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:20
Sky Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:20
LowVig.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 10:39
BetOnline.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 10:40
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:19
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:20
Fanatics7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -0.451%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:20
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -1.13%E -0.156%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 19:54
Pinnacle7.17I 13.95%NM 13.51%EV -2.22%E -0.310%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.49%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 22:15
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -4.13%E -0.588%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:09
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 19:59
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 10:34
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:58
ReBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:00
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:05
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:44
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:19
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
NordicBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:01
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 23:20
DraftKings6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:05
GTbets6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:30
Unibet (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:59
Fliff6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.46%E -7.98%K -140.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 23:17
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:19
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:00
BetAnything6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:55
Tipico (DE)6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.59%E -7.09%K -108.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 20:00
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:14
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 19:45
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 05:29
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:20
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:19
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 12:25
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 06:55
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.77%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
betano_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.18%E -3.03%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 05:30
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.00%E -4.54%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:20
ProphetX8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-08-04 23:00
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%2.3%2026-08-04 23:20
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39%3.1%2026-08-04 23:20