Idioma:Español
James Duckworth v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
James Duckworth (Local)
Predicción 13.64%7.33momio equitativo
EV +11.82%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.194%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.64%13.73%13.58%16.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.957.008.2018.18%14.38%14.29%12.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 86.36%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -2.92%
Kelly -27.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.08%86.27%86.42%88.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.02%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: James Duckworth (Local): 13.64%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 86.36%. Para James Duckworth (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.33. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.82%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.194% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Sky Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Fanatics | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -0.451%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -1.13%E -0.156%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Pinnacle | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.51%EV -2.22%E -0.310%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.49%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -4.13%E -0.588%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| ReBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Bally Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:01 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| GTbets | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.46%E -7.98%K -140.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 23:17 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.59%E -7.09%K -108.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 05:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.77%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.18%E -3.03%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.00%E -4.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| ProphetX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Novig | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |