Langue:Français
James Duckworth v Alex de Minaur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
James Duckworth (Local)
Prévision 13.64%7.33cote équitable
EV +11.82%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.194%
avec la cote maximale 8.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.64%13.73%13.58%16.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.957.008.2018.18%14.38%14.29%12.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)
Prévision 86.36%1.16cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -2.92%
Kelly -27.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.08%86.27%86.42%88.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.02%90.91%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : James Duckworth (Local) : 13.64% ; Alex de Minaur (Visiteur) : 86.36%. Pour James Duckworth (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.33. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.20, soit une espérance positive de +11.82%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.82%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.194% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Sky Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Fanatics | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -0.451%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -1.13%E -0.156%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Pinnacle | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.51%EV -2.22%E -0.310%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.49%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -4.13%E -0.588%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| ReBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Bally Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:01 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| GTbets | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.46%E -7.98%K -140.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 23:17 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.59%E -7.09%K -108.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 05:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.77%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.18%E -3.03%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.00%E -4.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| ProphetX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Novig | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |