StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

James Duckworth v Alex de Minaur

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 23:38 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

James Duckworth (Heim)

Prognose 13.64%7.33faire Quote
EV +11.82%
Vorteil +1.44%
Kelly +1.64%
Wachstum +0.194%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.64%13.73%13.58%16.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.957.008.2018.18%14.38%14.29%12.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Auswärts)

Prognose 86.36%1.16faire Quote
EV -3.27%
Vorteil -2.92%
Kelly -27.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.08%86.27%86.42%88.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.02%90.91%89.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: James Duckworth (Heim): 13.64%; Alex de Minaur (Auswärts): 86.36%. Für James Duckworth (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.33. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.82%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.82%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.194%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:20
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:20
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:19
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:20
Sky Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:20
LowVig.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 10:39
BetOnline.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 10:40
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:19
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:20
Fanatics7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -0.451%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:20
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -1.13%E -0.156%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 19:54
Pinnacle7.17I 13.95%NM 13.51%EV -2.22%E -0.310%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.49%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 22:15
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -4.13%E -0.588%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:09
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 19:59
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 10:34
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:58
ReBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:54
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:00
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:05
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:44
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:19
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
NordicBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:20
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:01
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 23:20
DraftKings6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:05
GTbets6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 05:30
Unibet (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:59
Fliff6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.46%E -7.98%K -140.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 23:17
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:19
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:00
BetAnything6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:55
Tipico (DE)6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.59%E -7.09%K -108.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 20:00
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:14
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:15
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 19:45
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 05:29
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:20
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:19
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 12:25
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 06:55
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.77%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:00
betano_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.18%E -3.03%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 05:30
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.00%E -4.54%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-08-04 23:20
ProphetX8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-08-04 23:00
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%2.3%2026-08-04 23:20
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39%3.1%2026-08-04 23:20