Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.20
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.12
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: James Duckworth (Casa): 13.64%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 86.36%. Per James Duckworth (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.33. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.20, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.82%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.82%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.194% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Sky Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Fanatics | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -0.451%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -1.13%E -0.156%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Pinnacle | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.51%EV -2.22%E -0.310%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.49%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -4.13%E -0.588%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| ReBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Bally Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:01 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| GTbets | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.46%E -7.98%K -140.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 23:17 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.59%E -7.09%K -108.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 05:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.77%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.18%E -3.03%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.00%E -4.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| ProphetX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Novig | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |