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James Duckworth v Alex de Minaur
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
James Duckworth (Хозяева)
Прогноз 13.64%7.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.82%
Преимущество +1.44%
Kelly +1.64%
Рост +0.194%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.64%13.73%13.58%16.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.957.008.2018.18%14.38%14.29%12.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Alex de Minaur (Гости)
Прогноз 86.36%1.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.27%
Преимущество -2.92%
Kelly -27.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.12
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
83.08%86.27%86.42%88.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.02%90.91%89.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: James Duckworth (Хозяева): 13.64%; Alex de Minaur (Гости): 86.36%. Для исхода «James Duckworth (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.33. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.82%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.82%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.194% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Sky Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.10%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.118% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +3.78%E +0.496%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 10:40 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.28%E +0.304%K +0.350%G +0.008% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Fanatics | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -0.451%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -1.13%E -0.156%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Pinnacle | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.51%EV -2.22%E -0.310%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.49%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -4.13%E -0.588%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| ReBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Bally Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.86%E -5.38%K -65.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:01 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.54%E -0.649%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| GTbets | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -4.95%E -0.710%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -5.91%E -0.856%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.46%E -7.98%K -140.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 23:17 |
| theScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.95%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.63%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.59%E -7.09%K -108.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 05:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.36%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.77%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -15.45%E -2.49%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.18%E -3.03%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.00%E -4.55%K -50.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 05:30 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.00%E -4.54%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.27%E -2.92%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| ProphetX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Novig | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |