StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Frances Tiafoe (Hemma)

Prognos 65.82%1.52rättvist odds
EV -3.24%
Fördel -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Borta)

Prognos 34.18%2.93rättvist odds
EV +0.824%
Fördel +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Frances Tiafoe (Hemma): 65.82%; Marin Cilic (Borta): 34.18%. För Marin Cilic (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.93. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.95, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.824%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003%4.8%2026-08-04 22:19
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001%5.4%2026-08-04 22:18
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:49
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:54
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:45
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:45
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:03
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:10
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:39
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:05
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:40
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:35
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:39
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:05
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:25
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:24
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:49
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:45
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 20:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:49
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:10
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 22:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-04 22:55
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%2.4%2026-08-04 22:40