النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic

البداية: 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.82%1.52السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Marin Cilic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.18%2.93السعر العادل
EV +0.824%
الأفضلية +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)⁩: ⁨65.82%⁩؛ ⁨Marin Cilic (الضيف)⁩: ⁨34.18%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Marin Cilic (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.93⁩. عرضت شركتا مراهنات (2) سعري إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.95⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.824%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003%4.8%2026-08-04 22:19
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001%5.4%2026-08-04 22:18
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:49
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:54
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:45
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:45
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:03
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:10
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:39
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:05
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:40
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:35
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:39
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:05
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:25
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:24
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:49
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:45
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 20:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:49
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:10
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 22:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-04 22:55
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%2.4%2026-08-04 22:40