StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic

Aanvang: 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

65 wedaanbieders (22 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Frances Tiafoe (Thuis)

Prognose 65.82%1.52margevrije odds
EV -3.24%
Voordeel -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.47

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Uit)

Prognose 34.18%2.93margevrije odds
EV +0.824%
Voordeel +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
Groei +0.003%

bij maximale odds 2.95

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Frances Tiafoe (Thuis): 65.82%; Marin Cilic (Uit): 34.18%. Voor Marin Cilic (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.93. 2 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 2.95, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.824%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (65 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003%4.8%2026-08-04 22:19
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001%5.4%2026-08-04 22:18
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:49
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:54
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:45
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:40
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:45
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:03
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:10
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:39
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:05
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:40
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:35
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:39
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:05
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:25
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:24
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:49
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:45
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 20:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:49
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:10
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:04
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-04 22:55
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 22:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-04 22:55
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%2.4%2026-08-04 22:40