Język:Polski
Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Frances Tiafoe (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 65.82%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -3.24%
Przewaga -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.47
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marin Cilic (Goście)
Prognoza 34.18%2.93kurs godziwy
EV +0.824%
Przewaga +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
Wzrost +0.003%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.95
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Frances Tiafoe (Gospodarze): 65.82%; Marin Cilic (Goście): 34.18%. Dla wyniku Marin Cilic (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.93. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.95, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.824%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |