Lingua:Italiano
Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Frances Tiafoe (Casa)
Previsione 65.82%1.52quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Marin Cilic (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.18%2.93quota equa
EV +0.824%
Vantaggio +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Frances Tiafoe (Casa): 65.82%; Marin Cilic (Trasferta): 34.18%. Per Marin Cilic (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.93. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.95, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.824%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |