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Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Frances Tiafoe (Хозяева)
Прогноз 65.82%1.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.24%
Преимущество -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.47
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Marin Cilic (Гости)
Прогноз 34.18%2.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.824%
Преимущество +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Frances Tiafoe (Хозяева): 65.82%; Marin Cilic (Гости): 34.18%. Для исхода «Marin Cilic (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.93. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.95, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.824%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |