Langue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 65.82%1.52cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -6.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.53%65.85%65.77%67.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.57%69.44%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marin Cilic (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.18%2.93cote équitable
EV +0.824%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.423%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%34.15%34.23%35.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.782.802.9538.17%35.99%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Frances Tiafoe (Local) : 65.82% ; Marin Cilic (Visiteur) : 34.18%. Pour Marin Cilic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.93. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +0.824%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.824%E +0.279%K +0.423%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +0.482%E +0.164%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.201%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.885%E -0.305%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.57%E -0.545%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.25%E -0.787%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.59%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.30%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.99%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.33%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.67%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.24%E -2.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.87%E -4.11%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.53%E -4.60%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.45%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |